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Category: Trends

The Chart Everyone's Been Asking For

July 01, 2015 Posted by Chris Wysong

By Joseph Triepke Last week, we published a comparison of rig count collapses for 6 big downturns, noting some uncanny similarities in trough formations across the decades. In the comments section of that post (and by email), quite a few smart readers asked us to chart the ensuing recovery patterns in the same way, comparing the percentage change from each trough back up to the next peak. The exercise helps lend some perspective as to how the next couple of years could possibly shape up if you believe in past as prologue. So without further ado, heres the chart you asked for. See Chart source: baker hughes, oilpro A few quick observations: The time to double from the bottom: 10 months around 1982 downturn (although this was followed by another leg down), 17 months in 1997, 19 months in 2008, 42 months in 2001, and doubling didnt really happen in 1985; the chart highlights how lackluster the recoveries in the 1980s were by more modern recovery standards (in the 1980s, double dips

Posted in , Onshore, RigCount, Trends
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